Basketball Overs System 2023/24 – 2026/27

Four seasons on one €10,000 bankroll in date order (433 settled selections). 2023/24, 2024/25, 2025/26 are a backtest: past selections that pass the system's current rules, which were set after those seasons. 2026/27 is the live record: every selection exactly as published, settled ones only. Updated 28 Oct 2026.

€9k€18k€27k€36k€45k072144216288360432Bankroll (€) vs bet #
Flat (fixed stake)Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)
Flat (fixed stake)
€22,728
End · 433 bets
+€12,728
+127.3%
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)
€32,227
End · 433 bets
+€22,227
+222.3%
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)
€32,995
End · 433 bets
+€22,995
+229.9%
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)
€42,962
End · 433 bets
+€32,962
+329.6%
SeriesEnd (€)Profit (€)Return %BetsW–L
Flat (fixed stake)22,728+12,728+127.3%433259–174
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)32,227+22,227+222.3%433259–174
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)32,995+22,995+229.9%433259–174
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)42,962+32,962+329.6%433259–174

How the four stakings differ

All four bet exactly the same 433 selections in the same order from €10,000. Only the stake size changes. The starting unit is €191: the flat record's worst losing run was 10.5 units, and that run is set to cost 20% of the bankroll (€2,000).

Flat (fixed stake)

Every selection is 1 unit, and the unit never changes. It is sized once so that the worst losing run in the whole record costs 20% of the starting €10,000.

Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)

Same 1 unit on every selection, but the unit grows by 15% each time the bankroll passes another +15% of the start (€11,500, €13,000, €14,500 …). If the bankroll falls back below a step, the unit falls back with it. It never goes below the starting unit.

Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)

Stakes 1 or 2 units, decided by the last 8 results. When the last 8 hold just one win (7 losses), the next selections go at 2 units. It drops back to 1 unit when a strong run (5+ wins in the last 8) starts to fade. Units grow with the bankroll like Progressive.

Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)

Same 1-or-2-unit rule as Hatman-8 for stepping up to 2 units, but it only drops back to 1 unit after 8 wins in a row, so it rides a hot streak at 2 units for longer. Units grow with the bankroll like Progressive.

Series1u at start1u at endBiggest stake2u betsWorst drop
Flat (fixed stake)€191€191€1910€2,000 (20%)
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)€191€592€5920€2,695 (27%)
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)€191€592€59214€2,722 (27%)
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)€191€793€793185€5,081 (51%)

Season by season

Each season restarts at €10,000.

2023/24 backtest with today's rules

151 selections · 78–73 · flat +7.43u

SeriesEnd (€)Profit (€)Return %
Flat (fixed stake)11,698+1,698+17.0%
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,495+1,495+14.9%
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)12,132+2,132+21.3%
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)12,393+2,393+23.9%

2024/25 backtest with today's rules

59 selections · 33–26 · flat +4.40u

SeriesEnd (€)Profit (€)Return %
Flat (fixed stake)11,978+1,978+19.8%
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,715+1,715+17.1%
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,715+1,715+17.1%
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,715+1,715+17.1%

2025/26 backtest with today's rules

213 selections · 138–75 · flat +45.64u

SeriesEnd (€)Profit (€)Return %
Flat (fixed stake)25,875+15,875+158.7%
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)42,849+32,849+328.5%
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)42,849+32,849+328.5%
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)42,849+32,849+328.5%

2026/27 live, as published

10 selections · 10–0 · flat +9.16u

SeriesEnd (€)Profit (€)Return %
Flat (fixed stake)11,750+1,750+17.5%
Progressive risk (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,776+1,776+17.8%
Hatman-8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,776+1,776+17.8%
Hatman-P8 (15% profit steps, cumulative)11,776+1,776+17.8%

2026/27 selections live

DateGameBetOddsResultFlat
2026-10-27Baskonia – Real MadridOver 1831.90Won+0.90u
2026-10-25Venezia – Treviso / Lleida – Real MadridDouble: Over 171 + Over 1812.11Won+1.11u
2026-10-25Girona – Joventut / Tortona – NapoliDouble: Over 172 + Over 1712.11Won+1.11u
2026-10-23Cluj – SC DerbyOver 1741.86Won+0.86u
2026-10-18Real Madrid – BilbaoOver 1831.83Won+0.83u
2026-10-17Yokohama – LevangaOver 1771.86Won+0.86u
2026-10-16Chiba Jets – ShimaneOver 170.51.83Won+0.83u
2026-10-16Besiktas – BayernOver 1761.90Won+0.90u
2026-10-14Hapoel Tel Aviv – BesiktasOver 1771.90Won+0.90u
2026-10-13Valencia – OlympiacosOver 1821.86Won+0.86u

Flat column in the selection table = 1 unit per selection. Past results do not guarantee future results.